These are now the games for all the marbles! PSG drew blood first, but everyone loves a comeback story, right?
The initial game in Paris was a little subdued, but I expect an absolute humdinger in this one. It doesn’t get too much bigger than Real Madrid and PSG, add to that the Champions League and you simply have to have skin in the game!
UEFA Champions League
Wednesday 9 March
Wednesday 9 March
Santiago Bernabeu
22:00
To Win (90 minutes)
Real Madrid 31/20
Real Madrid 31/20
Draw 51/20
Paris Saint-Germain 33/20
Paris Saint-Germain 33/20
Real Madrid
Real Madrid is trailing PSG 1-0 in the Champions League Round of 16, and with the likes of Casemiro and Ferland Mendy suspended, the return leg at the Santiago Bernabeu looks to be a rather tricky affair.
We know that there is no ‘away goal rule’ at play here, but that doesn’t necessarily change the nature of the job required from Carlo Ancelotti’s men. A question many would have pondered is which team the Italian manager will opt for.
The rumours pursuant to Real Madrid this year – and which are seemingly standing the test of time – is that Ancelotti has failed to use his squad depth well. His limited rotation would naturally take a toll on the set of players picked each week, and his fringe players would then ultimately be left with little or no time at all.
At the time of writing this article, Real Madrid have responded to their defeat in Paris with wins over Alaves and Rayo Vallecano. They play Sociedad on Saturday evening, but their previous two wins will be important. They hadn’t conceded a goal in either fixture, but it is the way in which they took those two teams apart that for me was most impressive.
There was a degree of calm and patience about Real and being clinical in front of goal is something that will need to be replicated against a team with lethal pace and dangerous finishing ability. Their defensive prowess will naturally come into question, but Thibaut Courtois has been their best player in my opinion…so another massive performance from the Belgian keeper only provides a base from which they can hope to launch ‘mission qualify’.
It might be a little dramatic, but I think should Real Madrid fail to qualify, the pressure will steadily begin to build on Ancelotti. The whispers around team selection are already caught up in the wind, in 21st century football the fans and media play a role in forming the narrative around the work managers are doing – you don’t want to be caught on the wrong side of the story.
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG will be confident of qualifying for the next round of the Champions League. The Parisians got the job done (eventually) in Paris and now bring a star-studded side to the Spanish capital to get themselves over the line.
Many believed Real Madrid would be a tough clash for Mauricio Pochettino and his chargers – I’m not suggesting this wasn’t the case, but this is still PSG.
Since the victory against Madrid in the reverse fixture, they have beaten Saint-Etienne and lost to Nantes. I wouldn’t read too much into these fixtures though, PSG are a side who play each season with the intention of winning the Champions League – and I say that with the greatest amount of respect.
The team they have put together was evidently done so with this in mind and so whilst this might not be a popular opinion – every season they fail to win the Champions League is yet another season falling short of their priority targets!
I think PSG are in pole position to go on and qualify from this fixture. The way they approach games will be aided by the fact that they are currently 1-0 up at ‘half-time’ and the freedom which would naturally flow from this lead might be itself the difference.
They are a difficult team to contain on any day, PSG. Now add to that a 1-0 lead and a side who aren’t exactly brimming with confidence for an opposition…the story starts to take shape.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals + BTTS (Yes) 9/10
Not the biggest price in the world by any stretch of the imagination, however, I think this could be a banker bet. The game should get incredibly stretched and so with it the prospect for goals become a reality.
These sides both have copious amounts of talent in front of goal and so I think both scoring and over 2.5 goals make the most sense. PSG will qualify from this tie, but at 1/3 there isn’t really a betting angle available.
Manchester City and Sporting is a done deal, but I would back both teams to score in both the Liverpool and Bayern Munich game. if we create a treble from these fixtures – you can get as much as 5/1!!
Written by Ryan Liberty